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Pakistan is set to repay a $2 billion loan to the UAE by month's end, a request reportedly linked to the Middle East's recent geopolitical shifts. The funds, held by the State Bank of Pakistan, were initially for balance of payment support. While Pakistan can meet this repayment, it may require further external financing for upcoming fiscal needs.
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Bank holidays in India will vary significantly in April 2026 due to numerous regional festivals. Many branches will close on April 3 for Good Friday, with exceptions in specific states. Further closures are scheduled for April 14 and 15, impacting various regions. Customers should plan transactions in advance as digital services remain available.
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The Indian rupee rebounded strongly, gaining 151 paise to 93.19 against the US dollar after the Reserve Bank capped banks' net open positions. Despite this regulatory intervention, underlying pressures from foreign fund outflows, a firming dollar, and high crude oil prices persist, impacting equity markets as well.
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Top stock market recommendations: Grindwell Norton, Adani Power, and KSB are stocks that Aakash K Hindocha, Deputy Vice President - WM Research of Nuvama Professional Clients Group recommends. He shares target levels as well as his outlook on Nifty and Bank Nifty:
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Banks across India will observe several closures in April 2026 due to national and state-specific holidays, including year-end finalization and Good Friday. Several states will also see branches shut for regional festivals and observances like Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Jayanti and Bengali New Year. Digital banking services will remain operational for routine transactions.
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Many banks across India are closed today for Mahavir Jayanti, impacting customers in states like Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Uttar Pradesh. However, agency banks handling government transactions will remain open on March 31st to facilitate financial year-end dealings. Digital banking services are unaffected, but check with your bank for specific details.
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The Indian rupee saw a significant rebound, gaining 128 paise to 93.57 against the US dollar following RBI's directive to limit banks' currency exposure. This move prompts banks to reduce dollar holdings, offering temporary support.
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Stock market recommendations: Ipca Laboratories, and AU Small Finance Bank are the stocks that Motilal Oswal Wealth Management Research Desk recommends buying for the week starting March 30, 2026. Target prices and potential upsides are listed below:
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Until Friday, banks could run net open positions of up to 25% of their net worth. In practice, large lenders often accumulated sizeable long dollar bets, sometimes in excess of of $1 billion, on expectations of rupee depreciation. The new cap forces a rapid reversal. By April 10, 2026, banks must cut these exposures to $100 million. This compels them to sell dollars and buy rupees to close the gap.
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Credit growth outpaced deposit mobilisation through the current financial year, with incremental credit at Rs 25.3 lakh crore exceeding incremental deposits of Rs 24.3 lakh crore. As a result, the incremental credit-deposit ratio stood at 103.9%. Historically, an 80% credit-deposit ratio is seen as healthy as it factors in the 3% of bank deposits that have to be maintained as cash reserves (CRR) and 18% in liquid govt bonds (statutory liquidity ratio)
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Stock market recommendations: Granules India, and RBL Bank are the top two stocks that Bajaj Broking Research has recommended for March 27, 2026. Views on Nifty, and Bank Nifty have also been shared:
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Deutsche Bank's Indian Global Capability Center is accelerating AI adoption with a startup-style incubator, drawing 100 ideas in its first 100 days. Employees are embracing AI transformation with less resistance than in mature markets, a cultural shift attributed to India's rapid digital progress.
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The bank has reduced its 12-month Nifty target, for end-March 2027, to 25,900 from an earlier 29,300. This suggests expected returns of about 13% in rupee terms and 12% in dollar terms over the next year, which is lower than the 19% upside projected for the MXAPJ index.
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Indian banks face a growing funding gap as credit expansion outpaces deposit growth. Lenders are turning to certificates of deposit, a wholesale funding source, to meet loan demand. This shift reflects changing household savings patterns and strong credit appetite across various sectors. Banks are also reallocating capital from government securities to support lending activities.
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Bank customers must check holiday schedules before visiting branches this week. Closures will occur due to festivals and state holidays. RBI guidelines also mean branches will be shut on the second and fourth Saturdays of March. Plan your banking needs accordingly. Digital platforms like mobile apps and UPI remain active for everyday transactions. Services requiring branch visits will be unavailable.
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Precious metals like gold and silver have seen significant price drops despite global uncertainties and inflation fears. This trend is attributed to a slowdown in de-dollarisation, potential interest rate hikes, central bank selling, and reduced industrial demand for silver. The war in West Asia has disrupted traditional market dynamics, leading to a bearish sentiment.
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India's economy shows resilience, but the Reserve Bank of India notes rising price risks. A severe global conflict in West Asia has disrupted oil and commodity markets, causing price surges and volatility. This geopolitical shock is impacting financial systems, leading to equity market sell-offs and pressure on emerging market currencies, including the Indian Rupee.
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Stock market recommendations: Coal India, and JB Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals stocks that Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical Research and Derivatives, SBI Securities recommends buying for the week starting March 23, 2026. There is also a detailed analysis on Nifty and Bank Nifty:
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The selloff was triggered by the resignation of Atanu Chakraborty, who said that certain “happenings and practices” within the bank over the past two years did not align with his personal values and ethics.
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Nomura cut Petronet LNG's target price due to West Asia crisis impacting volumes, while HSBC maintained a hold on Blue Star, citing demanding valuations. BofA Securities remains constructive on HDFC Bank despite chairman's exit, and Citigroup upgraded Dr Lal Pathlabs, expecting strong revenue growth and attractive valuations.
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Dalal Street experienced a significant market capitalisation erosion of over Rs 1 lakh crore for five top firms last week, with HDFC Bank bearing the brunt. Despite initial gains, selling pressure in later sessions led to a muted market close, reflecting participant caution.
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Central Bank Moves Quickly To Contain Any Contagion Risk, Says Lender's Financials Stable
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The Indian rupee plunged to a record low of 93.36 against the US dollar amid global market volatility and a strong dollar. The Reserve Bank of India has significantly ramped up its intervention using forward contracts, with its net-short dollar position nearing $100 billion. This stepped-up intervention aims to stabilize the rupee amidst renewed pressure on emerging market currencies.
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The stock movement is in focus after HDFC Bank part-time chairman and independent director Atanu Chakraborty resigned abruptly. The Reserve Bank of India has cleared the appointment of Keki Mistry, former chief executive of HDFC, as interim part-time chairman.
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Top stock market recommendations: Chambal Fertilisers and Chemicals, Ather Energy, and KSB are the top stocks that Aakash K Hindocha, Deputy Vice President - WM Research of Nuvama Professional Clients Group recommends buying today. He also shares his views on Nifty and Bank Nifty, let’s take a look:
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A Ten-Year Long Drive Raises Questions Over Process, Future Disinvestment Plans
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Aam Aadmi Party MP Raghav Chadha proposed reforms to ease financial burdens, advocating for optional joint income tax filing for couples, full tax exemption on disability pensions for all wounded soldiers, and removal of bank minimum balance penalties. These proposals aim to create a fairer financial system for ordinary citizens amidst ongoing pensioner concerns.
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Stock market recommendations: Bajaj Finance, HDFC Bank, and Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) are the top three stocks that Mehul Kothari, DVP - Technical Research at Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers recommends buying today (March 18, 2026):
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Stock market recommendations: Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical Research and Derivatives, SBI Securities shares his view on Nifty, Bank Nifty and top sectors in focus amid the ongoing Middle East conflict and US-Iran war. Here is his view for the week starting March 16, 2026.
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Stock market recommendations: Coal India, and State Bank of India (SBI) are the top stock recommendations by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd for this week starting March 16, 2026.
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Gold and silver prices are poised for continued volatility this week, influenced by Middle East conflict developments and key central bank policy announcements. Investors are closely watching for geopolitical shifts and forward guidance from the Fed, ECB, BoE, and PBOC. Despite recent price dips, analysts maintain that long-term allocation to bullion remains favoured due to its safe-haven and hedging properties.
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Indian markets witnessed a sharp sell-off last week, with the top 10 companies losing a staggering Rs 4.48 lakh crore. Rising crude oil prices and escalating global tensions fueled inflation fears, impacting major firms like SBI and HDFC Bank the most. Despite the downturn, Reliance Industries retained its top valuation spot.
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Amidst escalating Iran vs US-Israel war, Standard Chartered clarified reports of a Dubai office evacuation, stating it extended existing work-from-home measures as a precaution. The bank emphasised its regional operations remain active. This comes as other financial institutions also implement safety protocols, highlighting Dubai's crucial role as a financial hub facing geopolitical risks.
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Stock market recommendations: NCC, and HFCL are the top stocks that Bajaj Broking Research recommends buying on March 13, 2026. Here is a detailed outlook on NCC, and HFCL along with a view on Nifty and Bank Nifty.
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Despite escalating Iran vs US-Israel war, HSBC reaffirms strong confidence in GCC economies, signalling global banks are not retreating. The region's diversified economies, fiscal strength and strategic location continue to attract capital, even as markets grapple with conflict-driven volatility and energy price surges. Financial hubs like Dubai and Abu Dhabi are expanding, underscoring long-term appeal.
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Top stock market recommendations: INOX India, and Apollo Hospitals Enterprise are buy calls from Aakash K Hindocha, Deputy Vice President - WM Research of Nuvama Professional Clients Group. The analyst recommends selling TVS Motor Company. Below is his views on on Nifty, Bank Nifty and each of the three stocks:
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Indian stock markets experienced a significant downturn last week, with the top ten most valuable companies collectively shedding over Rs 2.8 lakh crore. Escalating geopolitical tensions and rising crude oil prices impacted investor sentiment, leading to broad-based selling. State Bank of India saw the steepest decline, while only Reliance Industries and Infosys managed to post gains.
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