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Central bank confident of country’s macro fundamentals
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Top stock market recommendations: AJAX Engineering, ELGI Equipments, and KFin Technologies have been picked as the top stocks to buy on April 23, 2026, by Aakash K Hindocha, Deputy Vice President - WM Research of Nuvama Professional Clients Group. The analyst has also shared his outlook for both Nifty, and Bank Nifty.
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Stock market recommendations: Grasim, State Bank of India (SBI), and Navin Fluorine International Limited have been picked by Somil Mehta, Head of Retail Research, Mirae Asset ShareKhan as the top stock recommendations on April 21, 2026.
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The Indian stock market saw mixed movements today, with the BSE and NSE experiencing gains and losses across various sectors. Trent and SBI emerged as top gainers on both exchanges, while companies like Titan and Axis Bank faced declines. Technology and banking stocks showed a general downward trend.
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Bankers anticipate a slowdown in credit growth for FY27, following a robust FY26. Deposit mobilization is becoming a challenge, impacting bank margins. While credit demand is expected from retail, services, and SMEs, industrial lending is set for a gradual recovery. A funding gap is projected, potentially eased by relaxed liquidity norms.
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Dalal Street eyes US-Iran conflict, crude oil, and corporate earnings for direction. HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank reported Q4 results, with the former warning of West Asia conflict risks. Analysts anticipate continued focus on geopolitical developments and their impact on global markets and capital flows.
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Indian banks are open this Saturday, April 18, 2026, as it's the third Saturday of the month. Customers can visit branches for routine services, while digital banking remains fully operational. Note that locker access and high-value transactions still require an in-person visit. This follows the RBI's holiday structure where only second and fourth Saturdays are typically closed.
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Global oil markets face turmoil due to the Iran-US conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. India, heavily reliant on oil imports, feels the pinch through rising inflation and borrowing costs. The Reserve Bank of India monitors the situation, opting for stability over aggressive action. Households may experience a gradual tightening of budgets as costs rise and monetary easing is delayed.
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The Indian rupee surged to a one-week high Friday, boosted by Reserve Bank of India's strategic moves to curb dollar demand from state-run oil refiners. By urging them to use a special credit line, the central bank aims to stabilize the currency against global pressures.
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The absence of new shipments could tighten domestic availability, given that India, the world’s second-largest consumer of gold and the largest buyer of silver, depends almost entirely on imports to meet demand, according to a Reuters report.
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Top stock market recommendations: Aditya Vision Ltd, Allied Blenders and Distillers Ltd, and NMDC - these are the stocks that Aakash K Hindocha, Deputy Vice President - WM Research of Nuvama Professional Clients Group has shortlisted as top buy calls for today (April 16, 2026). His views on Nifty and Bank Nifty are also available:
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Stock market recommendations: Sona BLW Precision Forgings, and Eicher Motors have been recommended as the top stocks to buy this week by Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical Research and Derivatives, SBI Securities. He also shares outlook on Nifty and Bank Nifty:
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A senior RBI official criticized foreign-exchange market makers for exacerbating the rupee's weakness amid West Asia tensions. He highlighted how arbitrage between local and offshore markets strained dollar liquidity during periods of foreign outflows. The RBI has recently implemented measures to curb speculation and arbitrage trades by banks.
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The Reserve Bank of India is proposing a simpler asset-size threshold of Rs 1 lakh crore to identify large NBFCs for stricter regulation, replacing a complex scoring system. This change could place Tata Sons, with assets of Rs 1.75 lakh crore, under tighter scrutiny, contingent on its application to surrender its core investment company registration being approved.
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Stock market recommendations: IndusInd Bank, and IIFL Finance - these are the two stocks that Bajaj Broking Research has recommended for buying today with a one month time horizon. The brokerage has also shared its views and outlook for Nifty, and Bank Nifty.
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India is well-positioned to navigate global energy shocks due to strong forex reserves, fiscal space, and a robust banking system, according to the World Bank. The institution projects an average growth of 7.1% for FY28-FY29, also highlighting the potential of recent trade agreements with the EU and UK to boost exports and household incomes.
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Top stock market recommendations: Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC, Bank of India, and Cummins India have been picked as top stocks to buy today by Aakash K Hindocha, Deputy Vice President - WM Research of Nuvama Professional Clients Group.
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The central bank governor is of the view that this will provide the Indian economy with ‘greater resilience’ to withstand shocks. However, the downside risks to growth projections remain, especially in case of a prolonged West Asia conflict.
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The Supreme Court ruled that banks are not required to provide personal oral hearings before classifying accounts as fraudulent. However, banks must furnish customers with a forensic audit report prior to such classification. This decision acknowledges the infeasibility of individual hearings given the significant rise in bank fraud cases.
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Gold and silver prices in India are predicted to stay strong in fiscal year 2026-27. Global uncertainty and demand for safe-haven assets will support prices. However, high interest rates could cap significant gains. Central bank purchases and industrial demand will also provide support. Volatility is expected to continue.
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The Indian Rupee strengthened against the US dollar on Monday. This gain followed intervention by the Reserve Bank of India to curb speculative positions. The central bank capped banks' net open positions. Despite this, foreign capital outflows and global uncertainties pose risks. The Rupee may strengthen further but volatility is expected to persist.
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Pakistan is set to repay a $2 billion loan to the UAE by month's end, a request reportedly linked to the Middle East's recent geopolitical shifts. The funds, held by the State Bank of Pakistan, were initially for balance of payment support. While Pakistan can meet this repayment, it may require further external financing for upcoming fiscal needs.
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Bank holidays in India will vary significantly in April 2026 due to numerous regional festivals. Many branches will close on April 3 for Good Friday, with exceptions in specific states. Further closures are scheduled for April 14 and 15, impacting various regions. Customers should plan transactions in advance as digital services remain available.
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The Indian rupee rebounded strongly, gaining 151 paise to 93.19 against the US dollar after the Reserve Bank capped banks' net open positions. Despite this regulatory intervention, underlying pressures from foreign fund outflows, a firming dollar, and high crude oil prices persist, impacting equity markets as well.
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Top stock market recommendations: Grindwell Norton, Adani Power, and KSB are stocks that Aakash K Hindocha, Deputy Vice President - WM Research of Nuvama Professional Clients Group recommends. He shares target levels as well as his outlook on Nifty and Bank Nifty:
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Banks across India will observe several closures in April 2026 due to national and state-specific holidays, including year-end finalization and Good Friday. Several states will also see branches shut for regional festivals and observances like Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar Jayanti and Bengali New Year. Digital banking services will remain operational for routine transactions.
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Many banks across India are closed today for Mahavir Jayanti, impacting customers in states like Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Uttar Pradesh. However, agency banks handling government transactions will remain open on March 31st to facilitate financial year-end dealings. Digital banking services are unaffected, but check with your bank for specific details.
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The Indian rupee saw a significant rebound, gaining 128 paise to 93.57 against the US dollar following RBI's directive to limit banks' currency exposure. This move prompts banks to reduce dollar holdings, offering temporary support.
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Stock market recommendations: Ipca Laboratories, and AU Small Finance Bank are the stocks that Motilal Oswal Wealth Management Research Desk recommends buying for the week starting March 30, 2026. Target prices and potential upsides are listed below:
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Until Friday, banks could run net open positions of up to 25% of their net worth. In practice, large lenders often accumulated sizeable long dollar bets, sometimes in excess of of $1 billion, on expectations of rupee depreciation. The new cap forces a rapid reversal. By April 10, 2026, banks must cut these exposures to $100 million. This compels them to sell dollars and buy rupees to close the gap.
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Credit growth outpaced deposit mobilisation through the current financial year, with incremental credit at Rs 25.3 lakh crore exceeding incremental deposits of Rs 24.3 lakh crore. As a result, the incremental credit-deposit ratio stood at 103.9%. Historically, an 80% credit-deposit ratio is seen as healthy as it factors in the 3% of bank deposits that have to be maintained as cash reserves (CRR) and 18% in liquid govt bonds (statutory liquidity ratio)
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Stock market recommendations: Granules India, and RBL Bank are the top two stocks that Bajaj Broking Research has recommended for March 27, 2026. Views on Nifty, and Bank Nifty have also been shared:
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Deutsche Bank's Indian Global Capability Center is accelerating AI adoption with a startup-style incubator, drawing 100 ideas in its first 100 days. Employees are embracing AI transformation with less resistance than in mature markets, a cultural shift attributed to India's rapid digital progress.
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The bank has reduced its 12-month Nifty target, for end-March 2027, to 25,900 from an earlier 29,300. This suggests expected returns of about 13% in rupee terms and 12% in dollar terms over the next year, which is lower than the 19% upside projected for the MXAPJ index.
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